It's down to Trump vs. Haley in Minnesota on Super Tuesday. What are her chances here?

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

80% : "My support for Nikki Haley comes from watching what happened to the election map here under Donald Trump," she said.
73% : "I think under Trump we might have a great economy," she said.
70% : "If Trump wins big in Haley's home state, I think it's going to be challenge for her to play in any state, including in Minnesota on Super Tuesday.
51% : In 2016, when Minnesota still used the precinct caucus system to nominate the president, Trump placed third, following Republican U.S. Sens. Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz.
47% : Trump handily won Minnesota's presidential primary in 2020, but he was unopposed on the ballot that year.
46% : But Haley's supporters think she has a chance to win a state like Minnesota, which has an independent streak and didn't back Trump in the 2016 precinct caucuses.
43% : Trump beat Haley by more than 30 percentage points in Iowa and by 11 points in New Hampshire.
41% : "Neither Trump nor Haley appear to have paid staff on the ground in Minnesota, focusing their attention on Iowa, New Hampshire and the upcoming Feb. 24 Republican primary in South Carolina.
40% : Coleman is thinking about her party long-term in backing someone other than Trump in the primary.
39% : The two-term GOP state senator from Waconia voted for Trump in 2020, but she's supporting former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley this year after watching her party lose ground in the suburbs over the last two election cycles, largely due to Trump's style.
27% : "That's Haley's dilemma in Minnesota, a state where Trump has locked down endorsements from the entire GOP congressional delegation.
26% : Julia Coleman knows she's one of the few elected officials in her party who will openly endorse a Republican other than Donald Trump in Minnesota's presidential primary.
25% : She's now the only challenger running against Trump in Minnesota's March 5 presidential nominating contest, after Ron DeSantis, Chris Christie and Vivek Ramaswamy all dropped out.

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