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2028 election odds include possible third terms for Trump, Obama

Mar 03, 2025 View Original Article
  • Bias Rating

    Center

  • Reliability

    40% ReliableAverage

  • Policy Leaning

    -10% Center

  • Politician Portrayal

    12% Positive

Bias Score Analysis

The A.I. bias rating includes policy and politician portrayal leanings based on the author’s tone found in the article using machine learning. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral.

Sentiments

Overall Sentiment

29% Positive

  •   Liberal
  •   Conservative
SentenceSentimentBias
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Bias Meter

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-100%
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Bias Meter

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

78% : In hypothetical matchups in the 2028 election, Trump is a -200 favorite over Clinton (+160), while Obama is a -200 favorite over Trump (+160).
69% : Vance is the +150 favorite at BetOnline to be the 2028 Republican nominee, and Trump is the 5-1 second choice.
69% : "No, but he's very capable," Trump said.
50% : Vance is the heavy +275 favorite to win the presidential election, while Trump is tied for the 12-1 fourth pick with former Vice President Kamala Harris.
48% : Trump has a 7.5 percent chance, which equates to the 12-1 second choice, at the site, which averages live odds from Polymarket.com, Kalshi.com, Betfair.com, PredictIt.org and Smarkets.com.
40% : Clinton, the same age as Trump at 78, is a 750-1 long shot.
39% : If the two-term limit is repealed, that would also open the door for former two-term presidents Barack Obama, Bill Clinton and George W. Bush to run again.
36% : President Trump isn't listed in the presidential odds at electionbettingodds.com, though the site gives "other" candidates a 37.9 percent chance to be elected (+164).
30% : Trump declined to endorse Vance as the 2028 nominee when he was asked on Fox News on Super Bowl Sunday if he saw the former Ohio senator as his successor.

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.

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