Analysis | Speaker Johnson's day of reckoning

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

47% : The whole ordeal is reminiscent of two years ago to the day when it took Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-California) 15 rounds, four days, calls by Donald Trump and a near fistfight on the House floor before McCarthy could muster a majority of the House.
43% : Trump told reporters on New Year's Eve that he'll make calls to help Johnson get over the finish line.
41% : If there is no speaker, the Congress can't take the mostly ceremonial step -- but hugely important step to Trump, given the last congressional certification process was disrupted by a Trump-supporting mob storming the Capitol -- of confirming the election results.
39% : Republicans on Capitol Hill believe Trump wants no interference in Congress's certification of the election results on Jan. 6.
36% : Johnson will have to manage the different ideological factions in a narrow majority, including the moderates worried about their reelection and the far-right group who specialize in their no-compromise style, and from Trump and his supporters who are likely to have their own demands.
27% : Trump has called Roy, per Punchbowl News, but the pressure from Trump could pick up if it drags on to multiple rounds and threatening to interfere with the Jan. 6 proceedings.
24% : One dark horse candidate being discussed among some centrist Republicans is Rep. Tom Cole (Oklahoma), the top Republican on the Appropriations Committee, who is well-liked but not particularly close with Trump, meaning the hard-liners would be likely to take issue with him.

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