Analysis | Stefanik's pulled nomination points to GOP electoral fear

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

58% : Trump carried the congresswoman's district by 21 points.
57% : (That district had also favored Trump by 21 points.)
56% : It was pulling Rep. Elise Stefanik's (R-New York) nomination to become U.S. ambassador to the United Nations.
51% : The GOP held a trio of districts Trump had won by between 18 and 27 points by only six points or less.
45% : The answer appears to be: They legitimately feared losing her district, even though it favored Trump by 21 points just months ago.
44% : Trump even acknowledged that in a social media post.
42% : A big one this week was Democrats' victory in a key Pennsylvania state Senate race, where they pulled an upset in a district no Democrat had won in decades and where Trump won by 15 points last year.
41% : The Republicans who run Washington just offered the first major sign that they are concerned about their political and electoral position, as President Donald Trump's fortunes have slid.
41% : Again, this is a district Trump carried by 30 points, and Democrats have only been over-performing the 2024 election by about 10 points.
36% : "With a very tight Majority, I don't want to take a chance on anyone else running for Elise's seat," Trump said.
25% : Despite the district having favored Trump by 30 points, the Democratic candidate has vastly outraised the Republican candidate, and a poll this week showed a shockingly tight, single-digit race.

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