Arizona Senate race: Gallego likely needs Trump backers to win

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

58% : Just three days earlier, Trump called the group's president, Justin Harris, to the stage to bestow an endorsement on the former president at a rally outside Phoenix.
56% : For Lake, it's Trump himself, as she reminds his supporters that he's backing her.
50% : Trump is well positioned in Ohio, but the race between incumbent Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown and Republican challenger Bernie Moreno could be more competitive.
47% : "They're sticking more to Trump because he's the top-of-the-ticket nominee, and losing the presidency is a lot different than losing a Senate seat.
42% : "Ruben is a legitimate tough guy," said Stacy Pearson, a Phoenix-based Democratic strategist, who ran the successful 2016 campaign to oust Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio, which relied on voters who backed Trump at the top of the ticket.
37% : For Gallego, that means winning over voters like Winfield Morris, a 62-year-old Republican farmer and rancher who plans to vote for Trump for president but can't get behind his loyal ally in the Senate race.
29% : In North Dakota, longshot Democratic Senate candidate Katrina Christiansen released an ad this week narrated by a rancher who says he's voting for Trump but not for Republican Sen. Kevin Cramer.
25% : But I think it's entirely accurate," said Mike Madrid, a California-based Republican strategist who has worked to defeat Trump.
21% : Gallego's strategy relies on Democrats keeping their own supporters united, getting a majority of independents and picking up a small but decisive share of Republicans by appealing to conservatives who dislike Trump.
13% : While Trump lost Arizona by 10,457 votes -- .03 percentage points -- McSally lost by 78,806 to Kelly, indicating tens of thousands of voters split their tickets.
9% : Trump also has attacked McCain, but Morris said he doesn't see Democrat Kamala Harris as a viable alternative.
5% : "Republicans have had a hard time replicating Trump's coalitionCelebrity candidates who are close to Trump but lack strong ties to the GOP establishment have had a hard time replicating Trump's coalition, Madrid said.

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