Chuck Todd: Which party cracks up first in 2025?

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

70% : Bill Clinton and the Democrats got it for all of two years (his first two).
59% : That brings us to the current GOP trifecta, which will start when Trump is inaugurated on Jan. 20.
54% : And would that help the party find its voice -- or hand Trump a foil that allows him to keep his own party more united than it wants to be?Here's what we do know: Politics is rarely static, even in peaceful times.
50% : Of course, cracks in the GOP coalition will benefit the Democrats only if they somehow stay united during these first two years of Trump.
43% : And while the party stayed remarkably united in opposition to Trump in his first term, there's already plenty of evidence that the unified opposition to Trump will fracture as Democrats ponder how to handle his second term after having spent eight years arguing his first term was an unrepresentative anomaly.
41% : He's clearly trying to make it clear to his constituents that he's aware many of his supporters from 2022 voted for Trump in 2024.
36% : Which Democrat or three (with eyes on the open 2028 presidential election) will see potentially weak opposition to Trump by the party in Washington as an opportunity to show toughness and become a new face of the anti-Trump resistance?
34% : The biggest problem Trump has is that while the party is united around trying to make his presidency a success, the party is not united around how to do that.
34% : Will a large part of the Democratic base be ready to punish Democrats for working with Trump?
33% : What's less clear to me is whether Roy's views on conservative governance match what Trump and the newer Republicans he has brought into office believe.
33% : I don't think Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer would get very far with many of his own Democratic colleagues if he tries to make working with Trump a pariah cause.
31% : The contentious vote for Mike Johnson for House speaker offers some clue as to how this could come apart on Trump.
28% : How much pressure will the Democratic leadership put on these folks to toe the party line in opposition to Trump?
22% : Trump won't care what the Congressional Budget Office says about whether and what his agenda adds to the deficit.
21% : Trump doesn't get animated by the deficit the way the likes of Roy and some other Republicans do.
19% : For instance, is the GOP truly united behind Trump, lock, stock and barrel, or is the party united only in not going public with its disagreements with Trump?
2% : And Joe Biden and the Democrats got the trifecta back after 2020 but, like Obama, Trump and Clinton, lost the trifecta in the first midterm.

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