Early bellwethers: Key races to watch as polls close on election night

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

61% : Democratic Rep. Marcy Kaptur, who was first elected in 1982, faces Republican state Rep. Derek Merrin in the Toledo-based district, which Trump won by 3 points in 2020.
47% : Kaptur is one of five Democrats running for re-election in districts Trump won in 2020, and her race could provide an early indication of whether Democrats in similar districts can hang on.
42% : Essential to carrying the district, and to a possible victory for Harris, is strong Black voter turnout and avoiding significant defections to Trump as he seeks to peel off a slice of young Black men.
26% : Both parties believe a wave is unlikely, so other districts will provide better clues about which way the winds are blowing in competitive races for Congress and the marquee presidential contest between Harris and Trump.

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