Nate Silver election model gives Trump highest chance of winning since July

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

56% : Trump previously led President Joe Biden in the polls, with every polling aggregator putting the former president ahead nationally and in the swing states.
55% : Meanwhile, a Patriot Polling survey conducted between September 1 and 3 put Trump 1 point ahead in the state.
53% : The latest prediction gives Trump his highest chance of winning since July 30.
53% : Silver added that former 2024 independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s endorsement of Trump last month may have eaten into any expected increase from the DNC.
49% : Meanwhile, Trump leads in every battleground state other than Michigan and Wisconsin, where the candidates are tied.
42% : Silver's forecast model gives Trump a 60.1 percent chance of winning the Electoral College, compared to Vice President Kamala Harris' 39.7 percent, with the former president taking 277 electoral votes to the vice president's 260.
41% : The latest surveys conducted by Wick and Emerson College between August 25 and August 29 showed Harris and Trump tied in Pennsylvania.

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