The Coalition Collapse That Doomed Biden's Presidency

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

83% : Trump fits this template with his promises to "make America great again," and he also displays the twin traits that Skowronek describes as characteristic of these predecessors that Trump hopes to emulate: repudiating the existing terms of political competition and becoming a reconstructive leader of a new coalition.
46% : His 2020 victory appeared to revive the coalition of college-educated whites, growing minority populations, young people, and just enough working-class white voters that had allowed Bill Clinton and Barack Obama to win the White House in four of the six elections from 1992 through 2012.
24% : If Trump can cement in office the gains he made on Election Day -- particularly among Latino, Asian American, and Black voters -- historians may come to view Biden as the Carter to Trump's Reagan.
15% : On Election Day, public disappointment with Biden's overall record helped Trump maintain a crushing lead over Harris among white voters without a college degree, as well as make unprecedented inroads among nonwhite voters without a college degree, especially Latinos.
10% : Biden's unpopularity helped Donald Trump make major inroads among traditionally Democratic voting blocs, just as the widespread discontent over Carter's performance helped Reagan peel away millions of formerly Democratic voters in 1980.

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