The Delayed Democratic Majority

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

64% : Indeed, Trump may have merely replicated the relative success among Hispanics of Ronald Reagan.
58% : While many conservatives have hailed the "multiracial working-class movement" that Trump purportedly amassed, the great bulk of his voters -- 84 percent -- were as white as the house he now occupies.
55% : Yet Trump, whose voters were only moderately less white, has won praise for appealing to minorities.
55% : Last year, Trump didn't bring together a historic and diverse coalition; he just brought the GOP back to its Bush numbers.
50% : AP VoteCast, a comprehensive survey of more than 120,000 voters, says that Trump garnered 43 percent of the Hispanic vote, which is consistent with polls from the final weeks of the campaign.
48% : Yet in subsequent elections, moderate Hispanics who had voted for the Gipper returned to the Democratic fold, for reasons that are well understood by political scientists.
48% : Yes, Trump made gains among Asians and blacks -- but he still got clobbered.
47% : Incredibly, Trump won the popular vote by a smaller margin than did Hillary Clinton in 2016.
46% : Given the persistence of racial gaps in voting, non-white immigration is set to put electoral victory beyond the reach of Republicans at the national level.
46% : Trump deserves credit for twice winning the White House amid such adverse demographic circumstances, but both victories were exceedingly unlikely.
46% : In 2016, Trump became only the fifth presidential candidate in U.S. history to win the electoral college despite losing the popular vote.
45% : Future Republican candidates will confront even stronger demographic headwinds than Trump did and probably will face more formidable opponents.
44% : A coalition of progressive nonprofits has contested the Edison number and sponsored a poll -- conducted by Harvard University -- that found that only 37 percent of Hispanics voted for Trump, far below 46.
35% : Under Trump, Team Red is still very white compared to the overall electorate.
35% : Moreover, neither of the candidates Trump defeated was particularly strong, to put it mildly.
34% : According to a widely cited exit poll by Edison Research, Trump won 46 percent of Hispanics in 2024, two points more than George W. Bush did in 2004.
34% : " How did Trump do among other minority groups in 2024?
28% : But then Donald Trump happened.
23% : That's better than Trump, Romney, and McCain did previously but approximates what Bush achieved.
22% : Trump lost Asians by a margin of 15 points and blacks by 73, according to exit polls.

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