The five Senate seats most likely to flip in the 2026 midterms

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

65% : He's proven himself to be an adept dealmaker, working with everyone from Chris Murphy to Kyrsten Sinema on guns, infrastructure and same-sex marriage protections.
41% : But expect Democrats to still tie her to Trump, especially given how she voted for many of his judicial nominees and the fact that her last election came before the Supreme Court's Dobbs v. Jackson that overturned Roe v. Wade.
31% : Trump won Georgia in 2024, which shows Ossoff will face major challenges.
30% : His biggest obstacle by far will be former Democratic governor Roy Cooper, who won the state in 2016 and 2020, both times when Trump was on the ballot.
26% : Analysis: The 2026 midterm election will largely be about Donald Trump.
25% : But he faces pushback from conservatives who do not see him as sufficiently loyal to Trump, and Democrats especially lambasted him for voting to confirm Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth after being coy for most of the process.
21% : During that time, Republicans and Democrats alike faced criticism during the town halls they held, with Republicans under fire for supporting proposed cuts to Medicaid and Elon Musk's slashing of government spending while Democrats suffered backlash for voting for Donald Trump's nominees and passing the stopgap spending bill earlier this month.
18% : And while Sununu created distance between himself and Trump, it would be difficult for him to separate himself when he would effectively be voting for Trump's agenda as a senator. 5.

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. Bias scores are on a scale of -100% to 100% with higher negative scores being more liberal and higher positive scores being more conservative, and 0% being neutral. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization.