The US-China rivalry doesn't have to be a zero-sum game: Jessica Chen Weiss

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

69% : President Trump seems to want to have a good relationship of some kind with Xi Jinping.
55% : I went to Nanjing in October for this kind of closed door discussion, and I think that under the right kind of conditions - which is to say relatively small and not for public consumption - I think that it's still very valuable to conduct these kinds of exchanges of views.
53% : And in his nomination of the new ambassador to China [David Perdue], Trump talked about having a "productive working relationship with China's leaders".
49% : I think even when he was still campaigning at one point, Trump suggested that the Chinese investors could come and invest in the United States to build plants to help with American jobs, especially, I would imagine, in the kind of renewable energy sector.
45% : But I think that there is some possibility that if Trump somehow decided that he was - which I don't think is likely - but if he were to signal very clearly that the United States would under no circumstances come to Taiwan's aid militarily, that could invite some in China who are looking for an opportunity to become more aggressive.
44% : Now that said, there are, of course, Chinese-Americans who organised and voted for Trump.
43% : Alongside his appointments we still have, of course, Trump himself, his own remarks.
43% : There's also probably the Russia-Ukraine piece where Trump has said that China could play a role in securing a ceasefire.
40% : And here is where I think there's been a whole lot of different, not necessarily consistent, things said or written by members of the incoming team from [Trump] on down.
30% : Trump has threatened high tariffs, and China has also shown signs of acting tough.
27% : I am worried about the disconnect between what some of the more hawkish and forward-leaning advisers will suggest and where Trump himself might ultimately be on this question.
24% : So in terms of the risk of conflict in the Taiwan Strait under Trump, I don't expect China to launch an imminent attack or blockade for domestic reasons.

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