Nikki Haley Poised to Capitalize on New Hampshire's Open Primary

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

65% : A new Trump ad highlights Haley's support for "cuts" to Social Security, and his campaign is buying up time to air it on MSNBC, the cable news network aimed at liberals.
53% : "Trump and his allies, for their part, seem to recognize the opening Haley has with these voters and have been working to depress the Democratic turnout for her.
50% : Yet to outpace Trump, she will almost certainly have to rely on support from Democratic leaners and moderates who are planning to turn out for the state's Republican primary in the absence of a competitive race on the Democratic side.
48% : Subtly, Haley is attempting to knit together the center-right coalition that has worked to elect Sununu governor four times -- and add in some centrist and center-left voters looking for an outlet for their opposition to Trump.
47% : "Do they decide that it's worth basically taking on Trump a little?"
45% : Both are formerly registered Republicans who said they couldn't stomach staying in the party once Trump took it over eight years ago.
44% : She will not participate in next month's party-run caucuses in Nevada, and will have to contend with a Republican primary at the end of February in her home state of South Carolina -- where Trump currently has a 30-point lead, and where there's less of a tradition of strategic voting in the "other party's" contest.
41% : The recent departure from the race of Chris Christie -- whose overtly anti-Trump message had attracted Democratic-leaning voters looking to get in on the fun on the GOP side -- could redound mostly to Haley's benefit, though her unwillingness to go as far as the former New Jersey governor in denouncing Trump means it won't be a clean transfer.
41% : To win, she'll need to keep long-time Republicans like Merv Newton of Milford -- who told The Dispatch he'd probably still vote for Trump if he wins the nomination -- on her team.
38% : It's all about Trump," Chuck told The Dispatch disapprovingly.
37% : "They don't want Trump to get it, you know, no matter what.
36% : Griffin told The Dispatch on Tuesday he still thinks there's a chance Haley can overcome the 13-point gap separating her from Trump in the RealClearPolitics polling average of the state.
32% : One of the mailers tells recipients to "Help change the channel on Trump -- before it's too late.
31% : Haley herself may be loath to admit it, but she'll have to count on a lot of New Hampshire voters just like Marino and Delaney -- who don't normally lean toward the GOP but want to boost the candidate with the best shot of taking down Trump -- if she hopes to win the state's primary on Tuesday.
25% : "I think she's the only one who has the chance to beat Donald Trump," he said.
21% : But the unusual nature of the 2024 race -- President Joe Biden is not even competing in the Democratic primary here, and the challenge from Rep. Dean Phillips is largely viewed as perfunctory -- means there's an opportunity to encourage even more to come out and vote against Trump.

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